Macro Musings with David Beckworth

Mercatus Center at George Mason University

  • 50 minutes 25 seconds
    Roberto Perli on the Past, Present, and Future of the Fed’s Balance Sheet

    Roberto Perli is the manager of the System Open Market Account (SOMA) and a senior leader in the New York Fed’s Market Group. In his role, Roberto is responsible for implementing monetary policy at the direction of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Roberto is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about a recent speech he made titled, *Balance Sheet Reduction: Progress to Date and a Look Ahead.* Specifically, David and Roberto discuss the Fed’s recent balance sheet activities, the basics and functionality of the overnight reverse repo facility, the importance of slowing down the Fed’s balance sheet runoff, and much more.

     

    Transcript for this week’s episode.

     

    Roberto’s NY Fed profile

    Roberto’s Twitter: @R_Perli

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

    Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

     

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    *Balance Sheet Reduction: Progress to Date and a Look Ahead* - Remarks by Roberto Perli at the 2024 Annual Primary Dealer Meeting, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

     

    Timestamps:

     

    (00:00:00) – Intro

     

    (00:04:49) – Breaking Down the Role of SOMA Manager

     

    (00:08:43) – Recapping the Fed’s Balance Sheet Activities

     

    (00:11:04) – How to Think About Quantitative Tightening

     

    (00:13:19) – Breaking Down the Overnight Reverse Repo Facility

     

    (00:20:42) – Slowing Down the Runoff and the Future of QT

     

    (00:26:48) – How to Determine the Critical Level of Reserves

     

    (00:33:03) – The Structural Demand for Bank Reserves Over Time

     

    (00:38:55) – The Advantages of the Floor Operating System

     

    (00:47:49) – Reserve Supply Focus Moving Forward

     

    (00:49:44) – Outro

    20 May 2024, 4:01 am
  • 1 hour 1 minute
    Mary Daly on Fed Policy, the Economic Impacts of AI, and the Future of the Fed’s Framework

    Mary Daly is the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), and is also a 28-year veteran of the Federal Reserve System. President Daly joins David for this special live episode of Macro Musings to talk about her non-linear career path to the world of monetary policy, the long-term economic impacts of AI, the future outlook for Fed policy and the Fed’s framework, and much more.

     

    Transcript for this week’s episode.

     

    Mary’s Twitter: @MaryDalyEcon

    Mary’s San Francisco Fed profile

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

    Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

     

    Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!

    Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!

     

    Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

    Check out our Macro Musings merch!

     

    Related Links:

     

    *Facts, Fears, and Functionality of NGDP Level Targeting* by David Beckworth

     

    Timestamps:

     

    (00:00:00) – Intro

     

    (00:01:30) – Mary Daly’s Background

     

    (00:06:09) – Recent Inflationary Trends and the Future of Fed Policy

     

    (00:15:39) – The Trajectory of R-Star Over the Medium to Long-Run

     

    (00:19:06) – The Long-Term Economic Impacts of AI

     

    (00:29:51) – Expectations for the Upcoming Fed Framework Review

     

    (00:33:35) – Prospects for Nominal GDP Targeting at the Fed

     

    (00:36:58) – Fed Policymaking During an Election Year

     

    (00:38:16) – Audience Q&A Period

     

    (01:01:09) – Outro

    13 May 2024, 4:01 am
  • 54 minutes 3 seconds
    Dan Katz and Stephen Miran on Reforming the Federal Reserve’s Governance

    Dan Katz and Stephen Miran are former senior advisors for the US Treasury Department and are currently adjunct fellows at the Manhattan Institute. Dan and Stephen have also written a new paper titled, *Reform the Federal Reserve’s Governance to Deliver Better Monetary Outcomes,* and they join Macro Musings to talk about this paper and the proposed reforms for the Federal Reserve outlined in it. Specifically, Dan, Steve, and David discuss the ever-expanding reach of the Fed, its role as debt manager and bank regulator, the current issue with the central bank’s personnel, and a lot more.

     

    Transcript for this week’s episode.

     

    Stephen’s Twitter: @SteveMiran

    Stephen’s Manhattan Institute profile

     

    Dan’s Twitter: @DanielScottKatz

    Dan’s Manhattan Institute profile

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

    Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

     

    Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!

    Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!

     

    Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

    Check out our Macro Musings merch!

     

    Related Links:

     

    *Reform the Federal Reserve’s Governance to Deliver Better Monetary Outcomes* by Dan Katz and Stephen Miran

     

    Timestamps:

     

    (00:00:00) – Intro

     

    (00:04:20) – The Fed’s Issue of Picking Winners and Losers

     

    (00:09:17) – The Fed’s Role as Bank Regulator

     

    (00:12:53) – The Ever-Expanding Reach of the Fed

     

    (00:17:50) – The Fed as a Debt Manager

     

    (00:23:33) – What Should the Fed Do in a Zero Lower Bound Environment

     

    (00:27:26) – Personnel is Policy: The Issue with Fed Personnel

     

    (00:29:55) – Options for Personnel Reform at the Fed

     

    (00:38:22) – Making the Fed President Selection Process More Robust

     

    (00:47:28) – The Nature of Debate at the Fed

     

    (00:50:53) – The Scope for Change at the Fed

     

    (00:53:21) – Outro

    6 May 2024, 4:01 am
  • 6 minutes 39 seconds
    BONUS: Richard Clarida on His Musical Interests and *Time No Changes*

    Richard Clarida is a professor of economics at Columbia University, a managing director at PIMCO, and was most recently the Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Richard rejoins David for this special bonus segment to talk about his interest in music and his first studio album, *Time No Changes.*

     

    Richard’s Federal Reserve profile

    Richard’s PIMCO archive

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

    Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

     

    Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!

    Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!

     

    Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

    Check out our Macro Musings merch!

     

    Related Links:

     

    *Time No Changes* by Richard Clarida

     

    *Richard Clarida on FAIT, R-Star, and the Future of the Fed’s Framework* by Macro Musings

    1 May 2024, 4:01 am
  • 1 hour 1 minute
    Richard Clarida on FAIT, R-Star, and the Future of the Fed’s Framework

    Richard Clarida is a well-known academic and policymaker who most recently was the Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Richard is currently a professor of economics at Columbia university and is also a managing director at PIMCO. Richard joins David on Macro Musings to talk about his academic and policy work, as well as his outlook for FAIT, the Fed’s framework review, the future of R-Star, and more.

     

    Transcript for this week’s episode.

     

    Richard’s Federal Reserve profile

    Richard’s PIMCO archive

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

    Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

     

    Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!

    Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!

     

    Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

    Check out our Macro Musings merch!

     

    Related Links:

     

    *How the Bundesbank Conducts Monetary Policy* by Richard Clarida and Mark Gertler

     

    *The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective* by Richard Clarida, Jordi Gali, and Mark Gertler

     

    *Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory* by Richard Clarida, Jordi Gali, and Mark Gertler

     

    *Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence* by Richard Clarida, Jordi Gali, and Mark Gertler

     

    Timestamps:

     

    (00:00:00) – Intro

     

    (00:03:04) – Richard Clarida’s Background

     

    (00:11:37) – Bridging the Gap Between Academic Economics and Real-World Markets

     

    (00:21:50) – Richard’s Journey Through the Policy World

     

    (00:36:29) – Constructing the Fed’s FAIT Framework

     

    (00:40:53) – Evaluating the Results of the FAIT Framework

     

    (00:54:17) – The Future of the Fed’s Framework

     

    (00:57:08) – The Future of R-Star

     

    (01:00:50) – Outro

    29 April 2024, 4:01 am
  • 53 minutes 38 seconds
    Saleha Mohsin on *Paper Soldiers: How the Weaponization of the Dollar Changed the World Order*

    Saleha Mohsin is a senior Washington correspondent for Bloomberg News, where she covers policy, politics, and power in Washington, DC. Saleha is also the author of a new book titled, *Paper Soldiers: How the Weaponization of the Dollar Changed the World Order,* and she joins David on Macro Musings to talk about it. Specifically, David and Saleha also discuss the intelligence and enforcement tools of the US Treasury, the basics and importance of SWIFT, the effectiveness of US sanctions, and a lot more.

     

    Transcript for this week’s episode.

     

    Saleha’s Twitter: @SalehaMohsin

    Saleha’s Bloomberg archive

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

    Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

     

    Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!

    Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!

     

    Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

    Check out our Macro Musings merch!

     

    Related Links:

     

    *Paper Soldiers: How the Weaponization of the Dollar Changed the World Order* by Saleha Mohsin

     

    *The Big Take* hosted by Saleha Mohsin

     

    Timestamps:

     

    (00:00:00) – Intro

     

    (00:03:43) – The Weaponization of the Dollar on the Global Stage

     

    (00:08:55) – The Intelligence and Enforcement Tools of the US Treasury Department

     

    (00:13:10) – Breaking Down SWIFT and Its Importance

     

    (00:18:27) – Sanctioning Russian Oligarchs

     

    (00:22:42) – The Importance and Significance of Robert Rubin

     

    (00:25:29) – The George W. Bush of the Treasury Department

     

    (00:37:42) – Breaking Down the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action

     

    (00:41:06) – The Trump Administration, China, and the Rise of Populism

     

    (00:45:30) – Evaluating the Effectiveness of the Russia Sanctions

     

    (00:51:18) – Threats to the US in the Future

     

    (00:52:48) – Outro

    22 April 2024, 4:01 am
  • 56 minutes 13 seconds
    Josh Hendrickson on the Treasury Standard and Global Dollar Dominance

    Josh Hendrickson is the chair of the department of economics at the University of Mississippi and is the author of a new paper that looks at dollar dominance through the broad historical perspective of what is called the “Treasury Standard.” Josh is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he rejoins the podcast to talk about this paper and the Treasury Standard concept. David and Josh also discuss the state’s monopoly over money, the path to global dollar dominance, the path dependency of the dollar system, and a lot more.

     

    Transcript for this week’s episode.

     

    Josh’s Twitter: @RebelEconProf

    Josh’s Ole Miss profile

    Josh’s joint Substack

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

    Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

     

    Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

    Check out our Macro Musings merch!

     

    Related Links:

     

    *The Treasury Standard: Causes and Consequences* by Joshua Hendrickson

     

    *If Things Are So Great, Why Don’t People Think So?* by Josh Hendrickson

     

    *The Cost of Money is Part of the Cost of Living: New Evidence on the Consumer Sentiment Anomaly* by Marijn Bolhuis, Judd Cramer, Karl Schulz, and Lawrence Summers

     

    *On a Correct Measure of Inflation* by Armen Alchian and Benjamin Klein

    15 April 2024, 4:01 am
  • 49 minutes 58 seconds
    Julia Coronado on Productivity, Commercial Real Estate, and the Fed’s Soft Landing

    Julia Coronado is the president and founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, a Wall Street research firm. Julia was also recently the president of the National Association of Business Economists, and she has served as an economist on Wall Street and at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Julia is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and she rejoins the podcast to talk about the prospects of a productivity surge, the Fed’s journey to a soft landing, the state of the commercial real estate market, and more.

     

    Transcript for this week’s episode.

     

    Julia’s Twitter: @jc_econ

    Julia’s MacroPolicy Perspectives profile

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

    Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

     

    Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

    Check out our Macro Musings merch!

    8 April 2024, 4:01 am
  • 56 minutes 52 seconds
    Isabel Schnabel on the ECB and its New Operational Framework

    Isabel Schnabel is a Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, and she joins David on Macro Musings to talk about the ECB and its new operational framework. Specifically, David and Isabel also discuss the structure, operations, and monetary policy instruments of the ECB, the history of its operating framework, the details surrounding its new regime, and more.

     

    Transcript for this week's episode.

     

    Isabel’s Twitter: @Isabel_Schnabel

    Isabel’s ECB profile

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

    Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

     

    Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

    Check out our Macro Musings merch!

     

    Related Links:

     

    *The Eurosystem’s Operational Framework* - Speech by Isabel Schnabel at the Money Market Contact Group meeting

     

    Slides for *The Eurosystem’s Operational Framework* by Isabel Schnabel

     

    *Back to Normal?* Balance Sheet Size and Interest Rate Control* - Speech by Isabel Schnabel at an event organized by Columbia University and SGH Macro Advisors

     

    Slides for *Back to Normal? Balance Sheet Size and Interest Rate Control* by Isabel Schnabel

    1 April 2024, 4:01 am
  • 54 minutes 44 seconds
    Andrew Levin and Christina Parajon Skinner on *Central Bank Undersight: Assessing the Fed’s Accountability to Congress*

    Andy Levin is a professor of economics at Dartmouth University and a former senior staffer at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Christina Parajon Skinner is a legal scholar at the University of Pennsylvania and formerly was legal counsel to the Bank of England. Andy and Christina have co-authored a new article titled, *Central Bank Undersight: Assessing the Fed’s Accountability to Congress,* and they rejoin David on Macro Musings to talk about it. Specifically, they discuss the Fed’s power under a constitutional authority, the three sources of Fed undersight, proposals for reform, and more.

     

    Transcript for this week’s episode.

     

    Andrew’s Twitter: @andrewtlevin

    Andrew’s Dartmouth profile

     

    Christina’s Twitter: @CParaSkinner

    Christina’s UPenn profile

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

    Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

     

    Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

    Check out our Macro Musings merch!

     

    Related Links:

     

    *Central Bank Undersight: Assessing the Fed’s Accountability to Congress* by Andrew Levin and Christina Parajon Skinner

     

    *Andrew Levin on the Costs and Benefits of QE4 and the Future of the Fed’s Balance Sheet* by Macro Musings

    25 March 2024, 4:01 am
  • 56 minutes 11 seconds
    Anat Admati on the US Banking System and the Basel III Endgame

    Anat Admati is a professor of finance and economics at Stanford University and is the coauthor of the 2013 book, *The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong With Banking and What to Do About It.* Anat is also a returning guest to Macro Musings and she rejoins the podcast to talk about the 2024 expanded edition of the same book, as well as the most recent developments in banking. David and Anat also discuss the effectiveness of post-financial crisis regulations, the design and impact of Basel III Endgame, the fallout from the most recent regional banking crisis, and a lot more.

     

    Transcript for this week’s episode.

     

    Anat’s Twitter: @anatadmati

    Anat’s Stanford profile

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

    Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

     

    Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

    Check out our Macro Musings merch!

     

    Related Links:

     

    *The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong With Banking and What to Do About It – New and Expanded Edition* by Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig

     

    *The Parade of Bankers’ New Clothes Continues: 34 Flawed Claims Debunked* by Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig

     

    *Anat Admati on Debt, Equity, and Financial Instability* by Macro Musings

     

    *Anat Admati on the Perils of Corporate Debt and How COVID-19 Relief Efforts Have Gone Wrong* by Macro Musings

     

    *Why the Innocent Plead Guilty and the Guilty Go Free: And Other Paradoxes of Our Broken Legal System* by Jed Rakoff

    18 March 2024, 4:01 am
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